How can you tell if odds have value on CornerPro?
5 min read · InstagramLearn how to use CornerPro’s Odds Analysis to interpret the Edge, price movements and the verdicts for each market.
How can you tell if odds have value on CornerPro?
High odds do not always represent a good opportunity. Likewise, low odds do not necessarily mean a safe bet.
To assess a price, it is important to understand the relationship between the estimated probability of an event and the odds offered by the market.
On CornerPro, the Odds Analysis tool lets you check different markets, follow how prices evolve and interpret indicators that help identify possible value opportunities.
What does it mean for odds to have value?
Odds may offer value when the estimated real probability of an event is higher than the probability implied by the price offered.
For example, odds of 2.00 represent an implied probability of 50%, before taking the bookmaker’s margin into account.
If a model estimates that the event has a 55% probability of happening, there may be a favourable difference between the estimate and the available price.
However, this assessment depends on the quality of the estimates used and does not guarantee that the bet will win.
Where can you find Odds Analysis?
On CornerPro, you can access this feature directly on each match page.
To do so:
- Select the match you want to analyse.
- Go to the Odds Analysis tab.
- Check the available markets.
- Choose the category you want to analyse.
Among the categories shown, you can find:
- Match Result 1X2
- Goals
- Corners
- Player Markets
This way, you can analyse different types of markets without leaving the match page.
What is the Edge?
The Edge is an indicator used to assess the difference between the estimated probability of an event and the probability implied by the available odds.
In Odds Analysis, this indicator helps you see whether a given price shows a potentially favourable difference compared with the estimate used.
For example:
- Positive Edge: may indicate that the price offers value relative to the estimated probability.
- Negative Edge: may indicate that the price does not offer value relative to the estimate.
- Edge close to zero: suggests that the odds are relatively close to the value the model considers fair.
It is important to understand that a positive Edge does not guarantee a profitable opportunity, especially when there is uncertainty in the estimated probabilities.
What does Mov. 24h mean?
The Mov. 24h indicator lets you follow how the odds have changed over the last 24 hours, when history is available.
This information helps you see whether a price has risen or fallen over that period.
For example:
- Positive movement: indicates that the odds have risen.
- Negative movement: indicates that the odds have dropped.
A significant drop may reveal a relevant change in the market’s assessment.
However, odds movements can result from different factors and should not be read in isolation as a sign of value.
How to interpret CornerPro’s verdicts?
In the Verdict section, CornerPro shows ratings that help you interpret the indicators associated with each price.
Among the statuses shown, you can find:
VALUE
Indicates that the analysis has identified a potentially favourable price according to the criteria used.
NO VALUE
Indicates that the price does not show a sufficiently favourable difference compared with the estimate considered.
FAIR
Suggests that the odds are close to the value the analysis considers balanced.
UNCERTAIN
Indicates that the available data does not allow a sufficiently conclusive assessment.
SUSPECT
Flags a situation that requires extra attention before reading the price as a possible opportunity.
These ratings work as indicators to support your analysis, not as guarantees about results.
How to analyse odds in more detail?
Besides the verdict, each market shows information that lets you take your assessment of the price further.
When you expand a row, you can see the available details on the status and evolution of the odds.
Ideally, you should analyse different elements together:
- The current price;
- The Edge shown;
- The odds movement;
- The verdict given;
- The confidence indicated by the tool, when available.
Combining these indicators gives you a better understanding of the assessment presented by CornerPro.
Why might odds with a positive Edge not be rated as Value?
A positive Edge does not necessarily mean that all the other indicators are favourable.
In the example shown in the carousel, there are odds with a positive Edge that receive ratings such as Suspect or Uncertain.
This shows that the assessment presented by the tool should not be reduced to a single number.
It is important to consider the verdict and check the additional information provided to better understand the context of each price.
How to use Odds Analysis in your strategy?
The tool can be used to complement the statistical analysis of a match.
For example, if you identify a market with a positive Edge and a Value rating, you can dig deeper using CornerPro’s other tools.
Check the teams’ trends, the relevant statistical indicators and the context of the match.
The goal is to see whether the odds assessment is in line with the rest of the available data.
A price rated as Value is not an automatic recommendation to place a bet.
Where to check this data?
On CornerPro, open a match page and select Odds Analysis.
Choose the market you want and check the Edge, Mov. 24h, Verdict and Confidence indicators.
Whenever you need more information, expand the corresponding row to analyse the available details.
Remember: the value of odds depends on the relationship between the price and the estimated probability, not just on whether the odds are high or low.
In Odds Analysis, a price shows a positive Edge. According to the tutorial, how should you read this?
Answer to mark this tutorial as done.