Arsenal v Hull and 6 more Saturday games with a clear trend
· · 15 min read
Arsenal host Hull City having won all 6 home games this season with 2 goals conceded, while Hull have 1 win in their last 10. Fulham v Newcastle has the highest corner average of the day, 12.00 between the two sides (6 games each, short sample), and Real Madrid go to Valencia with 9 wins from 10. Of 20 Saturday games across six leagues, these 7 show a clear trend in our data.
| Game | When (UK) | Table | The trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Hull City | Sat 07/11, 15:00 | 1st v 11th | favourite: Arsenal |
| Fulham v Newcastle | Sat 07/11, 15:00 | 15th v 13th | plenty of corners |
| Valencia v Real Madrid | Sat 07/11, 20:00 | 19th v 3rd | favourite: Real Madrid |
| RB Leipzig v Augsburg | Sat 07/11, 14:30 | 4th v 10th | plenty of goals and corners |
| Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg | Sat 07/11, 14:30 | 2nd v 7th | plenty of goals, Dortmund corners |
| Stuttgart v Werder Bremen | Sat 07/11, 17:30 | 11th v 5th | plenty of goals and corners |
| Roma v Sassuolo | Sat 07/11, 19:45 | 3rd v 17th | plenty of goals, few cards |
xG = expected goals: how many goals a team's chances usually produce. CornerPro data up to 06/11/2026.
Of the 20 Saturday games across the 6 leagues we follow, we picked the 7 where both sides point the same way: the home side in its home games and the away side in its away games. That leaves out some big games. Nottingham Forest v Manchester City (17:30) has no clear trend: Forest have scored 0 goals in 5 home games this season, while City have had 3 or more goals in 5 of their 7 away games. Leeds v Tottenham (12:30) has no clear trend either, and Leeds have played only 4 home games. In Mainz v Bayern (14:30), Bayern have won 6 and drawn 4 of their last 10, but Mainz have played only 4 times at home, too few games to call a favourite.
On Thursday, of the 15 calls in our Europa League article, 8 came off and 7 did not. Goals went wrong in 3 of the 5 games where we gave a direction, and AZ v Juventus missed on all three lines: 3 goals, 6 corners and 4 yellow cards.
ArsenalPremier League1 - 0Full time · Saturday 7 November
Hull City- 6 of 6
- Arsenal home wins this season6 home games
- 0.33
- goals conceded by Arsenal per home game6 home games
- 1 of 10
- Hull City winslast 10 games
Arsenal v Hull City · Premier League
Arsenal have won all 6 home games this season, scoring 15 and conceding 2, and kept a clean sheet in 4 of them. Hull City have won only 1 of their last 10 games (6 draws and 3 defeats) and 1 of 6 away. In other words, everything we have points to Arsenal as clear favourites. Note: short sample (6 games each side); in the Premier League, Arsenal have won 8 of 9 games and let in only 5 goals, and Hull have drawn 5 of 9.
On goals and corners, the signals point in opposite directions. Arsenal's home games have had 3 or more goals in 5 of 6, but Hull's away games only in 2 of 6. And Arsenal's home games average 8.33 corners, against 11.50 in Hull's away games. In other words, no clear trend on either. The referee is Farai Hallam, with 3.33 yellow cards per game and 1 red in 43 games since July 2025: within the normal range, but close to the "few cards" line.
In the league
Arsenal top the table on 24 points (8 wins and 1 defeat) and won 1-0 at Anfield on Sunday. Hull, 11th on 11 points, drew their last two home games: 2-2 with Ipswich and 1-1 with Brentford. There are no previous meetings in our database.
See Arsenal v Hull City on the match page.
FulhamPremier League1 - 1Full time · Saturday 7 November
Newcastle United- 12.00
- corners on average between the two sides, the highest of the day6 + 6 games
- 5 of 6
- Newcastle away games with 10+ corners6 away games
- 7.50
- Fulham corners per home game6 home games
Fulham v Newcastle · Premier League
Fulham's home games average 11.50 corners, 7.50 of them won by Fulham, and Newcastle's away games 12.50, 7.83 of them won by Newcastle. The average of the two sides is 12.00, the highest of the 20 Saturday games, against 9.61 across the Premier League (all 20 teams, home and away, are in Premier League corner stats 2026/27). In other words, both teams win corners in their own conditions and the trend is towards plenty. Note: short sample (6 games each side); in the Premier League alone, Fulham's games average 10.78 corners and Newcastle's 9.89 (9 games each).
There is no trend on goals: both sides have had 3 or more goals in 3 of 6 games. Newcastle lost 1-0 at home to Everton on Monday. The referee is Robert Jones, with 4.03 yellow cards per game in 38 games, within the normal range.
In the league
Fulham are 15th on 9 points and drew 1-1 at Villa Park last Saturday. Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. Of the last 6 meetings, each side has won 3; the most recent was a 2-0 Fulham win at Craven Cottage on 24/05/2026.
See Fulham v Newcastle on the match page.
ValenciaLaLiga0 - 3Full time · Saturday 7 November
Real Madrid- 9 of 10
- Real Madrid winslast 10 games
- 0 of 6
- Valencia home wins6 home games
- 3-11
- Valencia's home goals this season6 home games
Valencia v Real Madrid · LaLiga
Real Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 games, scoring 2.90 goals per game, and the only defeat was 2-1 at the Metropolitano on 20/09. Valencia have not won at Mestalla this season: in 6 games they have drawn 2 and lost 4, scoring 3 and conceding 11. In other words, the numbers point to Real Madrid as clear favourites, though it is a trend, not a certainty.
Away from home, Real Madrid have won 6 of 8 games and score 2.25 goals per game. Valencia, at home, create 1.10 expected goals (xG) and concede 1.70. Of the 11 goals they have let in at Mestalla, 5 came in the 5-0 defeat to Barcelona; without that game, they concede 1.20 per game. Note: short sample (6 games); in LaLiga, Valencia score 0.73 goals per game over 11 matchweeks.
There is no clear trend on goals: Real Madrid have had 3 or more goals in 7 of their 8 away games, but Valencia at home only in 3 of 6, because they hardly score. No trend on corners either: 9.29 on average between the sides, below the 9.65 of the league we break down team by team in LaLiga corner stats 2026/27. The referee had not been named at the time of publishing.
In the league
Valencia are 19th on 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats) and won 1-0 at Elche on Sunday. Real Madrid are 3rd on 27 points, 3 behind Barcelona and 1 behind Atlético, and won 2-1 in Barcelona (25/10) and 3-0 in Santander (01/11). Of the last 6 meetings, Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1; the last two were a 2-0 win at Mestalla (08/02/2026) and 4-0 in Madrid (01/11/2025).
See Valencia v Real Madrid on the match page.
RB LeipzigGermany Bundesliga5 - 2Full time · Saturday 7 November
FC Augsburg- 18-0
- Leipzig's home goals in this Bundesliga4 home games
- 4 of 5
- Augsburg away games with 3+ goals5 away games
- 11.40
- corners on average between the two sides6 + 5 games
RB Leipzig v Augsburg · Bundesliga
Leipzig's home games this season have had 3 or more goals in 5 of 6, and Augsburg's away games in 4 of 5. In their 3 away games in this Bundesliga, Augsburg have always had 3 or more: 4-1 at Frankfurt, 4-3 at Elversberg and 3-2 at Werder Bremen. In other words, both sides point to plenty of goals, in the highest-scoring of the six leagues (3.50 per game).
In the Bundesliga, Leipzig have scored 18 and conceded 0 in their 4 home games: 3-0 against Gladbach, 5-0 against Hamburg, 6-0 against Frankfurt and 4-0 against Elversberg. The 6-0 weighs heavily; without it, it is 12 goals in 3 games (4.00 per game). Note: short sample. Away they are a different team: they lost 6-1 in Munich and 2-0 in Leverkusen. On Wednesday they lost 3-2 at home to Manchester City.
On corners, Leipzig's home games average 12.00 and Augsburg's away games 10.80; the average of the two is 11.40, above the Bundesliga's 10.63, the highest of the six leagues (each team's averages are in Bundesliga corner stats 2026/27). But at home Leipzig win 5.33 corners and concede 6.67. In other words, the trend is towards plenty of corners, from both sides and not just Leipzig. The referee is Daniel Schlager, with 4.30 yellow cards per game in 37 games, within the normal range.
In the league
Leipzig are 4th on 15 points and won 2-0 at Schalke last Saturday. Augsburg are 10th on 9 points and have gone 4 matchweeks without a win (they lost 2-1 at home to Freiburg last Saturday). Of the last 6 meetings, Leipzig have won 4 and 2 were drawn; the last two were 2-1 in Leipzig (03/2026) and 6-0 to Leipzig in Augsburg (10/2025).
See RB Leipzig v Augsburg on the match page.
Borussia DortmundGermany Bundesliga2 - 1Full time · Saturday 7 November
Elversberg- 6 of 8
- Dortmund home games with 3+ goals8 home games
- 6.75
- Dortmund corners per home game8 home games
- 16-16
- Elversberg's goals in this Bundesliga8 matchweeks
Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg · Bundesliga
Dortmund's home games this season have had 3 or more goals in 6 of 8, and Elversberg's away games in 3 of 5. In other words, the trend is towards goals, but a moderate one: Elversberg are right on our 60% line, with a short sample. In the Bundesliga alone, Dortmund's home games have had 3 or more goals in 2 of 4 (2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded per game); the other 4 games with 3 or more came in the cup and the Champions League, such as the 3-2 against Werder Bremen in the cup and the 2-1 against Betis on Wednesday.
On corners, the trend favours Dortmund: they win 6.75 and concede 3.63 per home game, while Elversberg away win 4.00 and concede 6.20. In other words, if there are corners, they tend to be Dortmund's. The referee is Harm Osmers, with 4.54 yellow cards per game in 41 games, above the normal range: he reached 5 or more in 22 of them.
In the league
Dortmund are 2nd on 18 points, level with Bayern, and are still unbeaten in this Bundesliga (5 wins and 3 draws); last Saturday they drew 2-2 in Munich. Elversberg are 7th on 13 points, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded, and beat Mainz 4-1 in the last matchweek. There are no previous meetings in our database.
See Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg on the match page.
VfB StuttgartGermany Bundesliga1 - 0Full time · Saturday 7 November
Werder Bremen- 5 of 6
- Werder away games with 3+ goals6 away games
- 0 of 5
- Stuttgart home clean sheets5 home games
- 11.30
- corners on average between the two sides5 + 6 games
Stuttgart v Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
Werder's away games this season have had 3 or more goals in 5 of 6, and Stuttgart's home games in 3 of 5. In other words, both sides point to goals, at both ends: Stuttgart have not kept a home clean sheet (0 of 5) and both teams scored in 5 of Werder's 6 away games. Note: short sample; in the Bundesliga, Werder away score 1.75 and concede 2.25 goals per game, and both teams scored in all 4 games.
On corners, Stuttgart's home games average 11.60 and Werder's away games 11.00, with 10 or more in 5 of 6. The average of the two is 11.30. In other words, the trend is towards plenty of corners. The referee is Sören Storks, with 4.24 yellow cards per game in 25 games, within the normal range.
In the league
Stuttgart are 11th on 9 points and won 4-2 in Leverkusen last Saturday, after losing 3-2 at home to Gladbach. Werder are 5th on 15 points and have won their last 2 league games, 3-2 at Mainz and 2-0 against Hoffenheim. Of the last 6 meetings, each side has won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent was 1-1 in Stuttgart (26/04/2026).
See Stuttgart v Werder Bremen on the match page.
RomaSerie A3 - 0Full time · Saturday 7 November
Sassuolo- 6 of 7
- Roma home games with 3+ goals7 home games
- 4 of 5
- Sassuolo away games with 3+ goals5 away games
- 3.17
- yellow cards per game for referee Di Bello24 games since 07/2025
Roma v Sassuolo · Serie A
Roma's home games this season have had 3 or more goals in 6 of 7, and Sassuolo's away games in 4 of 5. In other words, both sides point to a game with goals, in a Serie A that already averages 3.18 per game.
Roma score 3.00 goals per home game (7 games, all competitions); in Serie A alone it is 2.80 in 5 games, with 2.42 expected goals (xG) created. Sassuolo have lost 4 of their 5 away games and conceded 2.40 goals per game, without a single clean sheet (short sample). In the league they have conceded 26 goals in 10 matchweeks (2.60 per game) and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them.
The second trend is few cards. Italian referee Marco Di Bello shows 3.17 yellow cards per game since July 2025 and reached 5 or more in only 6 of 24 games, and Serie A has the fewest yellow cards of the six leagues (3.24 per game). In other words, a lean towards few cards, though it is only 24 games for the referee. There is no trend on corners: Roma's home games reached 10 or more in only 3 of 7, in a Serie A where fewer than half of all games get there (each team's averages are in Serie A corner stats 2026/27).
In the league
Roma are 3rd on 24 points and still unbeaten in this Serie A (7 wins and 3 draws); in their last two league games they won 5-2 at Udinese and 4-2 against Cagliari. Sassuolo are 17th on 8 points and have lost their last 4 games, the last two at home: 6-2 to Lazio and 4-2 to Fiorentina. Roma have won the last 4 meetings, the most recent 2-0 in January.
See Roma v Sassuolo on the match page.
How we read these numbers
CornerPro data from 06/11/2026, finished games only and no friendlies; table: ESPN on 06/11/2026. Plenty of goals means 3 or more goals in at least 60% of each side's games; plenty of corners means an average of the two sides of 10.5 or more and 10 or more corners in at least 60% of each side's games; a clear favourite is a team with 7 or more wins in its last 10 and at least 60% wins at home or away as the case may be, against one with 3 or fewer wins in its last 10. "Home" and "away" mean this season's games (since 01/07/2026) in all competitions; "in the league" means the domestic league only. When a side has 6 games or fewer, we say "short sample" and put the same figure from the league next to it. A game with a single trend only makes the cut if both sides have at least 6 games; with two or more trends, 5 is enough. The "average between the two sides" adds the average corners in the home side's home games to the average in the away side's away games and divides by two: it is a reference, not a prediction. We call a referee "normal" between 3.30 and 4.30 yellow cards per game, the same rule as our Champions League and Europa League articles (since July 2025, with at least 15 games). This article does not cover injuries or suspensions. If you use these numbers to bet, decide beforehand how much you can afford to lose and never chase losses. Betting is for over-18s only.
The matches in this analysis
- RB Leipzig5-2FC Augsburg07/11 · 14:30 · See the match →
- Borussia Dortmund2-1Elversberg07/11 · 14:30 · See the match →
- Arsenal1-0Hull City07/11 · 15:00 · See the match →
- Fulham1-1Newcastle United07/11 · 15:00 · See the match →
- VfB Stuttgart1-0Werder Bremen07/11 · 17:30 · See the match →
- Roma3-0Sassuolo07/11 · 19:45 · See the match →
- Valencia0-3Real Madrid07/11 · 20:00 · See the match →
Frequently asked questions
How did we pick the 7 games?
We looked at the 20 Saturday games across the 6 leagues we follow and kept the 7 where the home side, in its home games, and the away side, in its away games, point the same way. Plenty of goals means 3 or more goals in at least 60% of each side's games; plenty of corners means an average of the two sides of 10.5 or more and 10 or more corners in at least 60% of each side's games. A clear favourite is a team with 7 or more wins in its last 10 against one with 3 or fewer (CornerPro data up to 06/11/2026).
What time is Arsenal v Hull?
15:00 UK time on Saturday 07/11/2026, with Farai Hallam refereeing. Fulham v Newcastle kicks off at the same time. Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, at 17:30, is not in the 7: Forest have not scored in 5 home games, but City have had 3 or more goals in 5 of 7 away games, so the two sides point in opposite directions.
Is Real Madrid a clear favourite at Valencia?
In the data, yes: Real Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 games and Valencia have not won any of their 6 home games this season, scoring 3 goals. But it is a lean, not a certainty: Real Madrid lost 2-1 at Atlético Madrid in September (CornerPro data up to 06/11/2026).
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