Brighton v Brentford and 7 Sunday games with a clear trend
· · 16 min read
Brighton host Brentford having conceded 1 goal in 6 home games this season (21 scored), while Brentford have drawn all 4 away league games. Crystal Palace, with 21 goals conceded in 9 league games, host a Liverpool side scoring 2.50 per away game. And Atlético v Barcelona is the lowest-corner game of the day: none of 14 games reached 10. Eight of 23 Sunday games with a clear trend in our data.
Of the 23 Sunday games in the six leagues we follow, we picked the 8 where both sides point the same way: plenty or few goals, plenty or few corners, or a clear favourite. For each one you get the number behind the trend, what it means and what to watch.
| Game | When (UK) | In the table | The trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton v Brentford | Sun 08/11, 14:00 | 3rd v 6th | favourite: Brighton; plenty of goals |
| Crystal Palace v Liverpool | Sun 08/11, 14:00 | 18th v 5th | plenty of goals; corners for Liverpool |
| Atlético Madrid v Barcelona | Sun 08/11, 20:00 | 2nd v 1st | few corners |
| Inter v Como | Sun 08/11, 17:00 | 2nd v 4th | plenty of goals; few cards |
| Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano | Sun 08/11, 15:15 | 5th v 12th | plenty of goals and corners |
| Hoffenheim v Schalke | Sun 08/11, 18:30 | 12th v 17th | plenty of goals; corners for Hoffenheim |
| Vitória de Guimarães v Porto | Sun 08/11, 18:00 | 13th v 1st | favourite: Porto; cards above normal |
| Estrela da Amadora v Benfica | Sun 08/11, 20:30 | 12th v 2nd | favourite: Benfica; plenty of goals; cards above normal |
xG = expected goals: how many goals a team's chances usually produce. CornerPro data to 06/11/2026.
These were left out, some for short samples and others for ranking below the strongest 8, each with the number that weighs most:
- Napoli v Lazio (11:30): 4 of Napoli's 6 home games had 3 or more goals (short sample on Lazio's side, 5 away games).
- Ipswich v Bournemouth (14:00): all 6 of Bournemouth's away games had 3 or more goals.
- Köln v Leverkusen (14:30): 6 of Leverkusen's 7 away games had 3 or more goals (short sample on Köln's side, 5 home games).
- Santa Clara v Gil Vicente (15:30): the referee, Diogo Rosa, shows 6.42 yellow cards per game.
- Estoril v Marítimo (15:30): Estoril average 6.80 corners per home game.
- Manchester United v Aston Villa (16:30): 7 of Villa's 9 away games had 3 or more goals.
- Freiburg v Union Berlin (16:30): all 7 of Freiburg's home games had 3 or more goals, but Union have only 5 away games (short sample).
- Celta v Levante (17:30): 7.69 corners on average between the two, pointing to few corners.
- Villarreal v Getafe (17:30): 5 of Villarreal's 7 home games and 5 of Getafe's 8 away games had 3 or more goals.
On Thursday, of the 15 calls in our Europa League article, 8 came off and 7 did not. We will check Saturday's in the next article.
Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League2 - 0Full time · Sunday 8 November
Brentford- 21-1
- Brighton's goals at home this season6 home games
- 4 of 4
- Brentford away league games drawn4 away games
- 7.50
- Brighton corners per home game6 home games
Brighton v Brentford · Premier League
Brighton have won 7 of their last 10, including a 1-0 win at Manchester City on 31/10. At home they have won 5 of 6 and drawn the other, scoring 21 and conceding 1. Brentford have won 3 of their last 10. In other words, Brighton come in as clear favourites. Brentford rarely lose away, though: 1 defeat in 7, and they have drawn all 4 away games in the Premier League.
On goals, 5 of Brighton's 6 home games and 5 of Brentford's 7 away games had 3 or more. There is a contrast: both teams scored in all 7 of Brentford's away games, but in only 1 of Brighton's 6 at home. In other words, the lean is towards goals, but at Brighton they have come almost entirely from one side.
On corners, Brighton average 7.50 per home game and Brentford 4.71 away. In other words, a lean towards more corners for Brighton; to compare them with the other 18 teams, the home and away averages are in Premier League corner stats 2026/27. The referee is Michael Oliver, with 3.46 yellow cards per game in 63 games since July 2025, within the normal range.
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Brighton are 3rd on 19 points, with 24 scored and 7 conceded in 9 games; Brentford are 6th on 14. Brighton won the last 2 meetings, 2-0 in London and 2-1 at home. That is context, not a trend.
See Brighton v Brentford on the match page.
Crystal PalacePremier League1 - 3Full time · Sunday 8 November
Liverpool- 21
- goals conceded by Palace in the Premier League9 games
- 2.50
- Liverpool goals per away game6 away games
- 7.50
- Liverpool corners per away game6 away games
Crystal Palace v Liverpool · Premier League
Of Palace's 7 home games, 5 had 3 or more goals, and so did 4 of Liverpool's 6 away games. In the Premier League Palace have conceded 21 goals in 9 games (2.33 per game). Liverpool score 2.50 per away game across all competitions (6 games, short sample); in the Premier League alone they score 1.75 away, in 4 games. In other words, a defence letting in more than 2 a game against an attack that usually scores away: a lean towards plenty of goals.
On corners, Liverpool average 7.50 per away game and Palace 4.57 at home. In other words, a lean towards more corners for Liverpool. The referee is Tony Harrington, with 3.19 yellow cards per game in 27 games since July 2025, and 5 or more in only 6 of them. In other words, a lean towards few cards, from a sample of 27 games.
Liverpool are not listed as favourites: they have won 6 of their last 10 (our line is 7) and lost their last two, 0-1 at home to Arsenal (01/11) and 3-2 at Fenerbahçe in Istanbul (04/11).
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Palace are 18th on 7 points and have lost their last 3 league games without scoring; Liverpool are 5th on 15. The last 6 meetings were 2 wins each and 2 draws. That is context, not a trend.
See Crystal Palace v Liverpool on the match page.
Atlético de MadridLaLiga1 - 2Full time · Sunday 8 November
FC Barcelona- 0 of 14
- games with 10+ corners (Atlético at home, Barcelona away)7 + 7 games
- 6.36
- corners on average between the two, the lowest of 23 Sunday games7 + 7 games
- 4.00
- Barcelona goals per away game7 away games
Atlético Madrid v Barcelona · LaLiga
Across Atlético's 7 home games and Barcelona's 7 away games this season, none reached 10 corners. Atlético's home games average 7.00 corners and Barcelona's away games 5.71, in a LaLiga where half of all games reach 10 (each team's averages are in LaLiga corner stats 2026/27). In other words, the biggest game of the day tends to be one of the poorest for corners: the average between the two, 6.36, is the lowest of the 23.
Goals are a different story, which is why the game is not listed for them. Barcelona score 4.00 per away game and all 7 had 3 or more; in LaLiga they have 46 goals in 11 games. Atlético concede 0.71 per home game and only 3 of their 7 had 3 or more goals. On expected goals (xG) in LaLiga, Barcelona create 3.44 per away game (5 games, short sample). In other words, the two sides point in opposite directions: no clear trend on goals.
The referee had not been named at the time of publishing; the LaLiga average is 4.54 yellows per game.
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Barcelona are 1st on 30 points and Atlético 2nd on 28. On Tuesday, Atlético lost 0-2 at home to Bayern and Barcelona beat Aston Villa 3-0. Between December 2025 and April 2026 they met 6 times: 4 wins for Barcelona and 2 for Atlético. That is context, not a trend.
See Atlético Madrid v Barcelona on the match page.
InterSerie A2 - 0Full time · Sunday 8 November
Como- 3.00
- goals per game for Inter at home and Como away7 + 8 games
- 7 of 8
- Como away games where both teams scored8 away games
- 2.88
- yellow cards per game from referee Chiffi34 games since 07/2025
Inter v Como · Serie A
Inter at home and Como away each score 3.00 goals per game this season. Six of Inter's 7 home games had 3 or more goals, and so did 6 of Como's 8 away games. Away from home, Como have conceded in every game and both teams scored in 7 of 8. In other words, a lean towards plenty of goals, at both ends.
The referee is Italy's Daniele Chiffi, with 2.88 yellow cards per game in 34 games since July 2025, and 5 or more in only 5 of those 34. Serie A already has the fewest yellow cards of the six leagues (3.23 per game). In other words, a lean towards few cards. On corners the two sides point in opposite directions, so there is no trend (each team's averages are in Serie A corner stats 2026/27).
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Inter are 2nd on 25 points and Como 4th on 23. Inter lost the Milan derby 1-3 on 31/10, and Como have won their last 4 Serie A games. In the last 6 meetings Inter won 5 and drew 1. That is context, not a trend.
See Inter v Como on the match page.
Real SociedadLaLiga1 - 0Full time · Sunday 8 November
Rayo Vallecano- 11.86
- corners on average between the two, the highest of 23 Sunday games7 + 6 games
- 6 of 6
- Rayo away games where both teams scored6 away games
- 6 of 7
- Real Sociedad home games with 10+ corners7 home games
Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano · LaLiga
Of Real Sociedad's 7 home games, 5 had 3 or more goals, and so did 4 of Rayo's 6 away games. Rayo have scored and conceded in all 6 away games (2.50 conceded per game), and Real Sociedad, over their last 10, score 2.30 and concede 1.60. In other words, a lean towards plenty of goals, from both teams. Short sample on Rayo's side (6 away games); in LaLiga, Rayo have had 3 or more goals in 7 of 10 games.
On corners, 6 of Real Sociedad's 7 home games and 4 of Rayo's 6 away games reached 10. The average between the two, 11.86, is the highest of the day and well above LaLiga's 9.65. In other words, a lean towards plenty of corners.
The referee had not been named at the time of publishing; the LaLiga average is 4.54 yellows per game.
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Real Sociedad are 5th on 19 points, with 20 scored and 20 conceded, and Rayo are 12th on 12. Real Sociedad have not beaten Rayo in the league for 5 games (3 draws and 2 defeats). That is context, not a trend.
See Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano on the match page.
TSG HoffenheimGermany Bundesliga2 - 1Full time · Sunday 8 November
Schalke 04- 6 of 6
- Hoffenheim home games with 3+ goals6 home games
- 7.50
- Hoffenheim corners per home game6 home games
- 4
- games in a row without a Schalke goallast 4 games
Hoffenheim v Schalke · Bundesliga
All 6 of Hoffenheim's home games this season had 3 or more goals, with 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded per game: they beat Leverkusen and Lyon 3-0 and lost 2-3 to Hamburg and to Beşiktaş. Schalke had 3 or more goals in 4 of their 6 away games. In other words, a lean towards plenty of goals, mostly on Hoffenheim's side, a team that scores a lot but also lets opponents score.
The contrast is Schalke: they have scored only 4 goals in 8 Bundesliga games (0.50 per game) and have not scored in 4 games. In the Bundesliga, all 4 of Hoffenheim's home games had 3 or more goals, with 2.04 expected goals (xG) created per game; Schalke away score 1.00 and concede 1.50 per game. Short sample in the league-only numbers (4 games on each side).
On corners, Hoffenheim average 7.50 per home game and 5 of their 6 reached 10; Schalke average 4.67 away. In other words, a lean towards more corners for Hoffenheim, in a Bundesliga that averages 10.63 corners per game, the highest of the six leagues (Bundesliga corner stats 2026/27). The referee is Germany's Martin Petersen, with 4.45 yellow cards per game in 22 games since July 2025, and 5 or more in 9 of them. In other words, a lean towards cards above normal, from a sample of 22 games.
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Hoffenheim are 12th on 9 points and Schalke 17th on 6. Hoffenheim are not listed as favourites, having won only 3 of their last 10; they lost 2-0 at Werder Bremen on 31/10 and drew 1-1 at Crystal Palace on Thursday. Schalke lost 0-2 at home to Leipzig and went out of the cup at Dynamo Dresden. Hoffenheim won 4 of the last 6 meetings, but the most recent was in 2023. That is context, not a trend.
See Hoffenheim v Schalke on the match page.
Vitória GuimarãesLiga Portugal1 - 2Full time · Sunday 8 November
Porto- 10 of 10
- Porto wins in Liga Portugal10 games
- 0.40
- goals conceded by Vitória per home game5 home games
- 5.73
- yellow cards per game from referee David Silva40 games since 07/2025
Vitória de Guimarães v Porto · Liga Portugal
Porto have won all 10 games in Liga Portugal (25 scored, 4 conceded), all 5 away games included. In all competitions they have lost 3 of their last 10, all in the Champions League, and on Wednesday they beat Napoli 4-1. Vitória have won 3 of their last 10. In other words, Porto come in as clear favourites in our data.
Vitória are hard to beat at home, though: 1 defeat in 5, 2 goals conceded (0.40 per game), and only 1 of those games had 3 or more goals. Porto score 2.40 per away game in the league. In other words, on goals the two sides point in different directions and there is no clear trend. Short sample (5 Vitória home games).
The referee is David Silva, the highest yellow-card referee of the 8 games: 5.73 per game in 40 games since July 2025, with 13 reds. In Liga Portugal this season he averages 7.17 yellows in 6 games, against a league average of 4.43. In other words, a lean towards cards above normal.
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Porto are 1st on 30 points and Vitória 13th on 9. In the last 6 meetings Porto won 4, there was 1 draw and Vitória won 1, 3-1 at the Dragão in the 2025/26 League Cup. That is context, not a trend.
See Vitória de Guimarães v Porto on the match page.
Estrela AmadoraLiga Portugal2 - 3Full time · Sunday 8 November
Benfica- 9 of 10
- Benfica wins in their last 10 gamesall competitions
- 8 of 10
- Benfica away games with 3+ goals10 away games
- 4
- league defeats in a row for Estrelalast 4 games
Estrela da Amadora v Benfica · Liga Portugal
Benfica have won 9 of their last 10, losing only 3-1 at Porto on 20/09; away from home this season they have won 7 of 10. Estrela have lost their last 4 league games, failing to score in 3, and have won only 1 of 5 at home. In other words, Benfica come in as clear favourites.
On goals both sides point the same way too. Of Benfica's 10 away games, 8 had 3 or more goals, with 2.80 scored per game. Estrela had 3 or more in 3 of 5 home games and conceded in all of them. In other words, a lean towards plenty of goals, mostly from Benfica. Short sample on Estrela's side (5 home games); in Liga Portugal they have conceded 19 in 10 games (1.90 per game).
The referee is António Nobre: 4.95 yellow cards per game in 37 games since July 2025, with 15 reds. He reached 5 or more yellows in 20 of those 37. In other words, a lean towards cards above normal. There is no clear trend on corners, in a Liga Portugal that has the lowest average of the six leagues, 8.77 corners per game (all 18 teams are in Liga Portugal corner stats 2026/27).
In the league
Going into the matchweek, Benfica are 2nd on 25 points, 5 behind Porto, and Estrela 12th on 10. Benfica beat Lech 3-1 on Thursday and have won their last 6 games against Estrela, 20-3 on aggregate. That is context, not a trend.
See Estrela da Amadora v Benfica on the match page.
How we read these numbers
CornerPro data to 06/11/2026, finished games only and no friendlies; none of the 16 teams play on Saturday. "Home" and "away" are this season's games (since 01/07/2026) on that side of the pitch, in all competitions; "last 10" are the 10 most recent games in all competitions; "in the league" is the domestic league only. We call plenty of goals when at least 60% of each side's games had 3 or more; plenty of corners when the average between the two is above 10.5 and 60% of each side's games reached 10 (few: 8.5 or below and 35% or less). A clear favourite has 7 or more wins in the last 10 and the opponent 3 or fewer. A referee is within the normal range between 3.30 and 4.30 yellow cards per game (since July 2025). A game with a single trend needs 6 or more games on each side. Each day we list at most the 8 strongest games, ranked by the teams' trends; the referee only breaks ties and never gets a game in on his own. When a number comes from 6 games or fewer, we say so and add the same number from the league alongside. Tables from ESPN on 06/11/2026, before the matchweek: they may change with Saturday's games. If you use these numbers to bet, decide beforehand how much you can afford to lose and never chase losses. Betting is for over-18s only.
The matches in this analysis
- Brighton & Hove Albion2-0Brentford08/11 · 14:00 · See the match →
- Crystal Palace1-3Liverpool08/11 · 14:00 · See the match →
- Real Sociedad1-0Rayo Vallecano08/11 · 15:15 · See the match →
- Inter2-0Como08/11 · 17:00 · See the match →
- Vitória Guimarães1-2Porto08/11 · 18:00 · See the match →
- TSG Hoffenheim2-1Schalke 0408/11 · 18:30 · See the match →
- Atlético de Madrid1-2FC Barcelona08/11 · 20:00 · See the match →
- Estrela Amadora2-3Benfica08/11 · 20:30 · See the match →
Frequently asked questions
What time is Brighton v Brentford?
14:00 UK time on Sunday 08/11/2026, in the Premier League. The referee is Michael Oliver, with 3.46 yellow cards per game in 63 games since July 2025 (CornerPro data to 06/11/2026). Crystal Palace v Liverpool kicks off at the same time.
Why is Atlético v Barcelona listed for corners and not goals?
Because on goals the two sides point in opposite directions: all 7 of Barcelona's away games had 3 or more goals, but only 3 of Atlético's 7 home games did. On corners they point the same way: none of the 14 games reached 10, and the average between the two, 6.36, is the lowest of the 23 Sunday games.
How did we pick the 8 games?
We looked at the 23 Sunday games in the six leagues we follow and kept the ones where both sides point the same way: plenty or few goals, plenty or few corners, or a clear favourite (7 or more wins in the last 10 against an opponent with 3 or fewer). When the two sides point in opposite directions, the game is left out.
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